After an impressive first quarter performance with over 18 percent year-on-year growth, engineering exports from India in fiscal 2026-27 continued to run on the growth path with nearly 18 percent year-on-year growth in July 2026 even amid geo-political uncertainty along major trade route of India in the West Asian region. Engineering exports in July 2026 was recorded at USD 12.24 billion as against USD 10.40 billion in the same month last fiscal, which was the second monthly highest shipment in 2026-27 after May 2026. On a cumulative basis, engineering exports during April-July 2026-27 stood at USD 46.38 billion as against USD 39.24 billion in the same period last fiscal, registering a growth of 18.21 percent. As per the Quick Estimates of the Government, share of engineering in India's total merchandise exports was recorded at 27.7 percent during July 2026 while on a cumulative basis, the share was 26.7 percent during April-July 2026-27. This growth in year-on-year engineering exports in the first four months of 2026-27 was attributed to high growth in shipments of Electric machinery and equipment, Copper and products; Ships boats and floating structures; Aluminium and products, Iron and steel, and Motor vehicles/cars among others. Region wise analysis depicted that exports to all regions increased during April-July 2026-27 over the years but exports to WANA and CIS declined in July 2026. Exports to North America, the topmost export destination for engineering, surged by 13.8 percent in 2026-27.
| Trade Flow | Export figures(in $ billion) | Growth (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul-2025 | Jul-2026 | Apr-Jul 2025-26 | Apr-Jul 2026-27 | Jul-2026 over Jul-2025 | Apr-Jul 2025-26 over Apr-Jul 2026-27 | |
| Engineering exports | 9.87 | 12.32 | 49.10 | 58.70 | 24.86% | 19.55% |
| Overall Merchandise exports | 34.74 | 43.81 | 183.21 | 215.91 | 26.12% | 17.85% |
| Share of engineering (%) | 28.41% | 28.12% | 26.80% | 27.19% | --- | --- |
| Service Exports | 31.19 | 38.87 | 162.34 | 183.36 | 24.62% | 12.95% |
Source : Compiled from data by DGCI&S and Quick Estimates published by the Government of India.
The monthly engineering export figures for 2026-27 vis-à-vis 2025-26 are shown below as per the latest DGCI&S estimates:
US$ million
| Month | 2025-26 | 2026-27 | Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| April | 9515.77 | 10351.01 | 8.78 |
| May | 9890.43 | 12311.33 | 24.48 |
| June | 9506.71 | 11478.69 | 20.74 |
| April-June | 28912.91 | 34143.99 | 18.09 |
| July | 10399.9 | 12242.18 | 17.71 |
| August | 9867.17 | 12319.81 | 24.86 |
| April-August | 49104.53 | 58704.34 | 19.55 |
Source : DGCIS, Govt. of India
We now look at the export scenario of the top 25 nations that had highest demand for Indian engineering products during July 2026 over July 2025 as well as in cumulative terms during April-July 2026-27 vis-à-vis April-July 2025-26. The data clearly shows that top 25 countries contribute more than 75 % of total engineering exports.
(US$ million)
| Countries | Jul-2025 | Jul-2026 | Growth (%) | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U S A | 1679.73 | 2200.03 | 30.98% | 8631.54 | 9971.84 | 15.53% |
| U K | 382.92 | 492.61 | 28.64% | 1922.58 | 2299.59 | 19.61% |
| GERMANY | 412.77 | 487.97 | 18.22% | 2030.36 | 2317.74 | 14.15% |
| U ARAB EMTS | 649.12 | 475.93 | -26.68% | 3077.86 | 3008.27 | -2.26% |
| KOREA RP | 220.93 | 466.06 | 110.95% | 1172.67 | 1624.69 | 38.55% |
| CHINA P RP | 242.5 | 424.65 | 75.11% | 1087.75 | 1774.28 | 63.12% |
| SOUTH AFRICA | 309.78 | 392.97 | 26.86% | 1156.97 | 1510.96 | 30.6% |
| MEXICO | 309.2 | 360.24 | 16.51% | 1385.51 | 1649.46 | 19.05% |
| INDONESIA | 103.62 | 292.3 | 182.1% | 676.61 | 1031.26 | 52.42% |
| ITALY | 302.66 | 285.03 | -5.83% | 1379.26 | 1382 | 0.2% |
| SINGAPORE | 189.98 | 282.81 | 48.86% | 1780.46 | 2004.68 | 12.59% |
| JAPAN | 164.65 | 278.38 | 69.08% | 1057.94 | 1399.57 | 32.29% |
| AUSTRALIA | 127.15 | 275.97 | 117.03% | 612.1 | 980.41 | 60.17% |
| BRAZIL | 216.02 | 237.47 | 9.93% | 1075 | 1136.28 | 5.7% |
| FRANCE | 190.56 | 233.03 | 22.29% | 930.27 | 1198.79 | 28.86% |
| MALAYSIA | 141.09 | 231.24 | 63.89% | 545.48 | 1150.86 | 110.98% |
| SRI LANKA DSR | 127.74 | 230.84 | 80.72% | 548.48 | 1323.96 | 141.39% |
| NEPAL | 211.94 | 227.09 | 7.15% | 1008.14 | 1118.84 | 10.98% |
| SAUDI ARAB | 358.93 | 224.94 | -37.33% | 1836.93 | 1640.67 | -10.68% |
| TURKEY | 162.05 | 224.36 | 38.45% | 862.12 | 908.93 | 5.43% |
| THAILAND | 174.78 | 222.29 | 27.18% | 904.1 | 926.53 | 2.48% |
| OMAN | 57.37 | 197.99 | 245.11% | 340.86 | 800.01 | 134.7% |
| VIETNAM SOC REP | 142.46 | 191.32 | 34.3% | 614.9 | 1023.52 | 66.45% |
| NETHERLAND | 194.95 | 187.52 | -3.81% | 927.9 | 979.8 | 5.59% |
| BANGLADESH PR | 174.75 | 162.28 | -7.14% | 862.19 | 745.45 | -13.54% |
| Total engineering exports to top 25 countries | 7247.65 | 9285.33 | 28.12% | 36428 | 43908.39 | 20.53% |
| Total engineering exports | 9867.17 | 12319.81 | 24.86% | 49104.53 | 58704.34 | 19.55% |
Source : DGCI&S
The following table depicts region wise India’s engineering exports for April-July 2026 as compared to April-July 2025
Note: Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.
Regional observations:
In case of Turkey while exports have come down the postitive thing is that, the decline was in double digits a few months ago which has now come down significantly
(US$ million)
| Regions | Jul-2025 | Jul-2026 | Growth (%) | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORTH AMERICA | 2117.84 | 2721.76 | 28.52% | 10574.56 | 12346.6 | 16.76% |
| EUROPEAN UNION | 1810.33 | 1958.69 | 8.2% | 8720.95 | 9742.07 | 11.71% |
| ASEAN | 840.47 | 1311.01 | 55.99% | 4998.63 | 6600.22 | 32.04% |
| N E ASIA | 714.26 | 1286.62 | 80.13% | 3807.37 | 5409 | 42.07% |
| WANA | 1450.02 | 1286.27 | -11.29% | 7080.89 | 7299.97 | 3.09% |
| SSA( Sub Saharan Africa) | 888.13 | 1165.56 | 31.24% | 3882.1 | 5021.91 | 29.36% |
| OTHER EUROPE | 584.26 | 763.63 | 30.7% | 2979.01 | 3510.14 | 17.83% |
| LATIN AMERICA | 566.35 | 754.72 | 33.26% | 2967.46 | 3459.05 | 16.57% |
| SOUTH ASIA | 567.19 | 684.97 | 20.77% | 2692.74 | 3561.34 | 32.26% |
| OCEANIA | 139.3 | 286.91 | 105.97% | 673.17 | 1042.37 | 54.84% |
| CIS | 165.46 | 87.11 | -47.35% | 655.56 | 624.09 | -4.8% |
| OTHERS | 23.57 | 12.56 | -46.7% | 72.09 | 87.57 | 21.48% |
Note : *Figures have been rounded off.
Source : DGCI&S **Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.
The following table depicts panel wise India’s engineering exports for April-July 2026 as compared to April-July 2025
Sectoral Observations
India’s engineering exports grew by about 18.2% in April–July 2026-27 to around US$46.38 billion, with mixed performance across panels:
a) Exports of iron and steel rose by 15% during April–July 2026-27, supported by higher shipments of primary steel growing by 31.8%, while products of iron and steel witnessed a marginal decrease of 1.3% Overall, India’s steel exports rose 15% to US$7.65 billion during April–July 2026-27, supported by strong demand from the USA, UAE, Italy and UK (EU Countries), Nepal, Vietnam, Netherland , Germany and Belgium (EU markets), and Korea Rep.
As per the latest Ministry of Steel estimates, during April to July FY 2026-27, India became a net exporter of steel, with exports marginally exceeding imports by 0.03 million tonnes. During this period, finished steel exports stood at 1.70 million tonnes, while imports were 1.67 million tonnes. In July 2025, India's finished steel exports increased to 0.49 million tonnes from 0.45 million tonnes in June 2025. At the same time, imports declined significantly to 0.28 million tonnes from 0.44 million tonnes in the previous month, further strengthening the country's trade position in steel. On the raw material front, NMDC iron ore lump prices declined to ?5,700 per tonne in July 2025, compared with ?6,300 per tonne in June 2025, indicating a moderation in domestic iron ore prices. Meanwhile, domestic steel prices softened during the month. Retail prices in the Mumbai market for TMT (10 mm), HRC (2.50 mm) and CRC (0.63 mm) recorded month-on-month declines of 4.1%, 2.9% and 3.2%, respectively, as of 31 July 2025 compared with their levels at the end of June 2025.
Again non-ferrous panel emerged as a significant growth driver as copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel and tin indicated double-digit export growth. Decline was only noted in lead and lead products
(US$ million)
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
| IRON AND STEEL | 841.53 | 1279.12 | 52% | 4036.63 | 5489.21 | 35.98% |
| PRODUCTS OF IRON AND STEEL | 890.16 | 933.68 | 4.89% | 4375.34 | 4374.1 | -0.03% |
| Sub Total | 1731.68 | 2212.8 | 28% | 8411.97 | 9863.31 | 17% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium and products made of Aluminium | 543.87 | 736.16 | 35.36% | 2571.72 | 3819.97 | 48.54% |
| Copper and products made of copper | 226.83 | 598.96 | 164.05% | 1024.9 | 2067.41 | 101.72% |
| Lead and products made of Lead | 96.23 | 58.59 | -39.11% | 442.07 | 334.82 | -24.26% |
| Nickel and products made of Nickel | 15.88 | 18.09 | 13.95% | 70.82 | 89.01 | 25.68% |
| Other Non Ferrous Metals and their products | 85.29 | 97.18 | 13.95% | 436.99 | 494.62 | 13.19% |
| Tin and products made of Tin | 2.82 | 7.23 | 156.52% | 12.52 | 33.58 | 168.1% |
| Zinc and products made of zinc | 57.96 | 61.19 | 5.56% | 257.88 | 371.93 | 44.23% |
| Sub Total | 1028.88 | 1577.41 | 53% | 4816.91 | 7211.34 | 50% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air condition and Refrigeration Machinery and Parts, Industrial Furnaces, Water heaters and Centrifuges and Compressor | 179.8 | 219.18 | 21.9% | 924.67 | 1022.04 | 10.53% |
| IC Engines and Parts | 350.63 | 414.62 | 18.25% | 1767.64 | 1830.39 | 3.55% |
| Industrial Machinery for dairy, agriculture, food processing, textiles, paper, chemicals, etc | 760.24 | 760.74 | 0.06% | 3712.68 | 3859.61 | 3.96% |
| Machine Tools | 85.31 | 71.23 | -16.5% | 389.72 | 365.23 | -6.29% |
| Machinery for ATMs, Injecting Moulding machinery, valves, etc | 258.37 | 274.07 | 6.08% | 1288.15 | 1325.63 | 2.91% |
| Nuclear Reactors, Industrial Boilers and Parts | 86.23 | 211.54 | 145.33% | 394.45 | 575.4 | 45.87% |
| Pumps of all types | 133.07 | 155.21 | 16.63% | 657.39 | 707.18 | 7.57% |
| Sub Total | 1853.65 | 2106.6 | 13.65% | 9134.7 | 9685.49 | 6.03% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric Machinery and Equipment | 1151.17 | 1595.2 | 38.57% | 6381.79 | 7992.11 | 25.23% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUTO COMPONENTS/PARTS | 766.221 | 851.492 | 11.13% | 3646.74 | 3904.975 | 7.08% |
| AUTO TYRES AND TUBES | 254.226 | 295.827 | 16.36% | 1328.275 | 1419.175 | 6.84% |
| Motor Vehicle/cars | 1017.688 | 1049.774 | 3.15% | 4353.944 | 4912.085 | 12.82% |
| Two and Three Wheelers | 347.13 | 426.169 | 22.77% | 1561.915 | 1989.336 | 27.37% |
| Sub Total | 2385.265 | 2623.262 | 9.98% | 10890.873 | 12225.571 | 12.26% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aircrafts, Spacecrafts and Parts | 135.22 | 162.96 | 20.51% | 673.44 | 781.75 | 478.13% |
| Ships, Boats and Floating Structures | 94.59 | 367.8 | 288.82% | 1707.01 | 3084.77 | 3161.03% |
| Sub Total | 229.82 | 530.76 | 130.95% | 2380.45 | 3866.53 | 62.43% |
Source : DGCI&S
US$ Million
| Product panels | August-2025 | August-2026 | Growth | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BICYCLE AND PARTS | 42.97 | 47.02 | 9.43% | 196.09 | 214.31 | 9.29% |
| Cranes, Lifts and Winchescopper | 94.19 | 106.68 | 13.26% | 469.44 | 473.09 | 0.78% |
| Hand Tools, Cutting Tools and Implements made of Metals | 88.95 | 99.64 | 12.02% | 444.88 | 474.14 | 6.58% |
| Medical and Scientific Instrumentsents | 239.68 | 283.11 | 18.12% | 1191.86 | 1294.84 | 8.64% |
| OFFICE EQUIPMENTS | 34.48 | 33.11 | -3.97% | 159.54 | 146.57 | -8.13% |
| OTHER CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 298.73 | 322.91 | 8.09% | 1416.18 | 1604.75 | 13.32% |
| OTHER MISC. ENGINEERING ITEMS | 466.46 | 538.14 | 15.37% | 2207.53 | 2488.89 | 12.75% |
| PRIME MICA AND MICA PRODUCTS | 2.92 | 3.23 | 10.58% | 13.7 | 14.41 | 5.16% |
| Railway Transport and Parts | 52.55 | 52.58 | 0.05% | 190.8 | 285.79 | 49.79% |
| PROJECT GOODS | 0.15 | 0.2 | 38.23% | 0.57 | 0.81 | 42.46% |
| OTHR RUBBER PRODCT EXCPT FOOTW | 165.63 | 187.16 | 13% | 797.26 | 862.39 | 8.17% |
Source : DGCI&S
We now analyze the performance of some of the important products for the fiscal April-July 2026 vis-à-vis April-July 2025. We have taken the major panels and computed the top importers to get an idea of the current trade pattern.
(US$ million)
| Product panels | Top 5 nations | April-August 2025-26 | April-August 2026-27 | Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iron and Steel and Products made of Iron and Steel | ||||
| U S A | 1663.2 | 2319.51 | 39% | |
| U ARAB EMTS | 577.28 | 596.85 | 3% | |
| ITALY | 598.97 | 482.75 | -19% | |
| U K | 331.13 | 450.74 | 36% | |
| NEPAL | 341.08 | 391.23 | 15% | |
| Non-Ferrous Metals and Products made of Non-Ferrous Metals | ||||
| U S A | 750.98 | 956.33 | 27% | |
| KOREA RP | 432.81 | 694.27 | 60% | |
| CHINA P RP | 286.31 | 627.64 | 119% | |
| SAUDI ARAB | 383.41 | 473.06 | 23% | |
| JAPAN | 148.5 | 307.23 | 107% | |
| Industrial Machinery | ||||
| U S A | 1941.72 | 2052.74 | 6% | |
| AUSTRALIA | 169.38 | 468.44 | 177% | |
| CHINA P RP | 357.05 | 445.22 | 25% | |
| GERMANY | 412.46 | 419.73 | 2% | |
| U ARAB EMTS | 507.65 | 375.05 | -26% | |
| Electrical Machinery | ||||
| U S A | 1347.87 | 1435.29 | 6% | |
| SINGAPORE | 608.1 | 837.06 | 38% | |
| U K | 667.22 | 693.12 | 4% | |
| GERMANY | 461.45 | 573.08 | 24% | |
| MALAYSIA | 138.47 | 540.42 | 290% | |
| Automobiles | ||||
| U S A | 989.79 | 1141.09 | 15% | |
| MEXICO | 806.26 | 927 | 15% | |
| SOUTH AFRICA | 785.17 | 871.33 | 11% | |
| SAUDI ARAB | 682.15 | 477.89 | -30% | |
| JAPAN | 426.28 | 470.16 | 10% | |
| Aircrafts and Spacecraft parts and products | ||||
| U S A | 199.7 | 251.75 | 26% | |
| FRANCE | 122.23 | 127.44 | 4% | |
| U K | 78.17 | 69.34 | -11% | |
| MALDIVES | 0.57 | 60.1 | 10361% | |
| MALAYSIA | 21.23 | 36.98 | 74% | |
| Ships Boats and Floating products and parts | ||||
| U ARAB EMTS | 559.68 | 986.05 | 76% | |
| SINGAPORE | 690.36 | 656.08 | -5% | |
| SRI LANKA DSR | 90.79 | 502.97 | 454% | |
| OMAN | 65.94 | 246.99 | 275% | |
| INDONESIA | 96.23 | 164.71 | 71% | |
| Project Goods | ||||
| U S A | 0.1 | 0.26 | 158% | |
| SUDAN | 0 | 0.1 | N/A | |
| FRANCE | 0.05 | 0.09 | 83% | |
| BELGIUM | 0 | 0.04 | 4585% | |
| BHUTAN | 0 | 0.03 | 573% | |
| Other Rubber Product Except Footwear | ||||
| U S A | 185.52 | 176.47 | -5% | |
| GERMANY | 56.65 | 56.28 | -1% | |
| CHINA P RP | 31.55 | 44.89 | 42% | |
| THAILAND | 18.85 | 33.06 | 75% | |
| U ARAB EMTS | 32.16 | 31.73 | -1% | |
| Other engineering products | ||||
| U S A | 1550.76 | 1635.12 | 5% | |
| U K | 308.11 | 364.2 | 18% | |
| GERMANY | 323.77 | 333.24 | 3% | |
| U ARAB EMTS | 332.58 | 244.37 | -27% | |
| BRAZIL | 179.84 | 195.64 | 9% |
Source : DGCI&S
State wise engineering export performance
India’s state-wise engineering exports during April-July 2026-27 reflect robust growth with significant contributions from western and southern states.
Maharashtra remained the largest engineering exporting state, with exports rising to US$ 9.0 billion, accounting for 19% of India’s total engineering exports, although growth was relatively moderate at 7%. Gujarat emerged as one of the strongest growth drivers among the top exporting states, with exports surging 36% to US$ 7.2 billion, capturing a 16% share. Tamil Nadu retained its position as the third-largest exporter, registering 7% growth to US$ 7.18 billion and contributing 15% to the country's engineering exports. Karnataka and Odisha also recorded impressive growth of 32% and 69%, respectively, highlighting the increasing diversification of India’s engineering export base. Haryana maintained its strong position with exports growing by 12% to US$ 3.16 billion, while Delhi recorded a notable 25% increase in exports. Among the emerging contributors, Uttarakhand posted the highest growth rate among major exporting states, with exports more than doubling by 131% during the period.
(US$ million)
| Top States | Cumulative Export April-January 2025-26 | Share % | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maharashtra | 9002.263806 | 19.41% | 91% share covered by top 12 states |
| Gujarat | 7199.068705 | 15.52% | |
| Tamil Nadu | 7180.333669 | 15.48% | |
| Karnataka | 3863.537776 | 8.33% | |
| Haryana | 3161.612301 | 6.82% | |
| Odisha | 3068.907955 | 6.62% | |
| Delhi | 1962.643404 | 4.23% | |
| Uttar Pradesh | 1581.200954 | 3.41% | |
| West Bengal | 1559.072079 | 3.36% | |
| Rajasthan | 1296.695018 | 2.8% | |
| Andhra Pradesh | 1253.307249 | 2.7% | |
| Punjab | 1005.792055 | 2.17% | |
| Telangana | 902.1049198 | 1.94% | |
| Madhya Pradesh | 743.8499594 | 1.6% | |
| DADRA,NH,DAMAN,DIU | 666.649629 | 1.44% | |
| Kerala | 418.6473398 | 0.9% | |
| Uttarakhand | 374.7063559 | 0.81% | |
| Chhattisgarh | 324.5452778 | 0.7% | |
| JHARKHAND | 284.7706012 | 0.61% | |
| Goa | 266.6275854 | 0.57% | |
| Bihar | 84.34716688 | 0.18% | |
| Puducherry | 66.91154219 | 0.14% | |
| Himachal Pradesh | 66.54811583 | 0.14% | |
| CHANDIGARH | 23.2553949 | 0.05% | |
| Assam | 11.18631801 | 0.02% | |
| TRIPURA | 0.89954665 | 0% | |
| MANIPUR | 0.447117976 | 0% | |
| SIKKIM | 0.339378285 | 0% | |
| ARUNACHAL PRADESH | 0.243958608 | 0% | |
| Meghalaya | 0.154116906 | 0% | |
| LADAKH | 0.011519783 | 0% | |
| LAKSHADWEEP | 0.002140265 | 0% | |
| NAGALAND | 0.000847883 | 0% | |
| MIZORAM | 0.00046254 | 0% | |
| ANDAMAN AND NICOBAR ISLANDS | 0 | 0% | |
| Others | 0% | ||
| Jammu & Kashmir | 0% |
Source : DGCI&S
India’s region-wise engineering exports during April-July 2026 registered a strong growth of 18%, increasing to US$ 46.38 billion from US$ 39.24 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.
The Western Region continued to dominate India's engineering exports, with shipments rising by 19% to US$ 17.88 billion, accounting for the largest 38.5% share of total exports.
The Southern Region remained the second-largest contributor, recording exports of US$ 13.68 billion, a growth of 11% over April-July 2025, and accounting for 29.5% of total engineering exports.
The Northern Region posted a healthy growth of 15%, with exports increasing to US$ 9.48 billion, contributing 20.4% to the national total.
The Eastern Region emerged as the fastest-growing region, registering an impressive 49% increase in engineering exports to US$ 5.33 billion. Its share in total exports reached 11.5%, reflecting growing export momentum from the region.
Overall, India's engineering export performance during April-July 2026 was driven by broad-based growth across all regions, with the Western Region retaining its leadership position while the Eastern Region demonstrated the strongest pace of expansion.
Key Products driving exports in top states:
Disclaimer: Please note the following disclaimer given by the DGCI&S whereby it is stated that state-wise export figures are based on state of origin code in shipping bills and June not give the right estaimate.
Note : DGCI&S state wise data available till Jul-2026
Value in US$ million
| Region | Apr-Jul 2025-26($Mn) | Apr-Jul 2026-27 ($Mn) | Growth % |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOUTHERN REGION | 12360.39 | 13684.84 | 10.72% |
| EASTERN REGION | 3572.11 | 5334.91 | 49.35% |
| WESTERN REGION | 15028.79 | 17878.46 | 18.96% |
| NORTHERN REGION | 8264.44 | 9472.47 | 14.62% |
| Grand Total | 39225.72 | 46370.68 | 18.21% |
Engineering forms a considerable part of the broader manufacturing sector and the share of engineering production in overall manufacturing output is quite significant. As exports generally come from what is produced within a country, some correlation between manufacturing production growth and engineering export growth should exist. We briefly look at the trend in manufacturing growth as also engineering export growth to see if they move in tandem. It may be mentioned that manufacturing has 77.63% weightage in India’s industrial production.
Engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the same direction in as many as nine out of twelve months in each of the fiscal years 2019-20 and 2020-21. During fiscal 2021-22, engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of twelve months while in each of fiscal 2022-23 and 2023-24, as many as 10 out of 12 months saw engineering exports and manufacturing output moved in the same direction. In 2024-25, both moved in the same direction in eight out of 12 months and in 2025-26, both engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of 12 months.
The first month of fiscal 2026-27 saw manufacturing output growth (new series with base year 2022-23) engineering export growth and moved in the same direction with both securing higher growth over the previous month. May and June 2026, however witnessed both of them moving in the opposite direction. While May 2026 saw higher engineering export growth but moderated manufacturiong output growth, June 2026 witnessed just the reverse.
The link between these two may not be established in one or two months, but a positive correlation may be seen if medium to long term trend is considered.
| Months/ Year | Engg. Export Growth (%) | Manufacturing Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|
| April 2020 | -63.05 | -66.6 |
| May 2020 | -22.17 | -37.8 |
| June 2020 | -5.18 | -17.0 |
| July 2020 | 10.56 | -11.4 |
| August 2020 | -7.01 | -7.6 |
| September 2020 | 4.09 | 0.4 |
| October 2020 | -5.01 | 4.5 |
| November 2020 | -8.37 | -1.6 |
| December 2020 | -0.93 | 2.7 |
| January 2021 | 16.66 | -0.9 |
| February 2021 | -4.94 | -3.4 |
| March 2021 | 67.75 | 28.3 |
| April 2021 | 236.85 | 196.0 |
| May 2021 | 50.21 | 32.1 |
| June 2021 | 51.00 | 13.2 |
| July 2021 | 42.57 | 10.5 |
| August 2021 | 58.63 | 11.1 |
| September 2021 | 35.11 | 4.3 |
| October 2021 | 51.76 | 3.3 |
| November 2021 | 37.28 | 0.3 |
| December 2021 | 47.42 | 0.6 |
| January 2022 | 25.63 | 1.9 |
| February 2022 | 35.49 | 0.2 |
| March 2022 | 19.72 | 1.4 |
| April 2022 | 18.30 | 5.6 |
| May 2022 | 11.45 | 20.6 |
| June 2022 | 3.01 | 13.0 |
| July 2022 | -0.03 | 3.2 |
| August 2022 | -12.64 | -0.5 |
| September 2022 | -11.39 | 2.0 |
| October 2022 | -19.68 | -5.8 |
| November 2022 | 0.09 | 6.7 |
| December 2022 | -11.60 | 3.6 |
| January 2023 | -9.76 | 4.0 |
| February 2023 | -9.73 | 5.6 |
| March 2023 | -7.49 | 0.5 |
| April 2023 | -7.27 | 5.5 |
| May 2023 | -4.13 | 6.3 |
| June 2023 | -10.94 | 3.5 |
| July 2023 | -6.65 | 5.0 |
| August 2023 | 7.83 | 9.3 |
| September 2023 | 6.81 | 4.5 |
| October 2023 | 7.20 | N A |
| November 2023 | -3.48 | 1.2 |
| December 2023 | 9.82 | 4.5 |
| January 2024 | 4.21 | 3.6 |
| February 2024 | 15.9 | 5.0 |
| March 2024 | 10.66 | N A |
| April 2024 | -4.49 | 3.9 |
| May 2024 | 7.41 | 4.6 |
| June 2024 | 10.27 | N A |
| July 2024 | 3.66 | 4.6 |
| August 2024 | 4.26 | 1.0 |
| September 2024 | 9.44 | 3.9 |
| October 2024 | 38.39 | 4.1 |
| November 2024 | 13.72 | 5.5 |
| December 2024 | 8.33 | 3.4 |
| January 2025 | 7.46 | 5.5 |
| February 2025 | -8.64 | 2.9 |
| April 2025 | -3.92 | 3.0 |
| May 2025 | -0.80 | 2.6 |
| June 2025 | 1.28 | 2.9 |
| July 2025 | 13.86 | 5.4 |
| August 2025 | 4.90 | 3.8 |
| September 2025 | 2.93 | 4.8 |
| October 2025 | -16.72 | 1.8 |
| November 2025 | 23.79 | 8.0 |
| December 2026 | 1.29 | 8.4 |
| January 2026 | 10.35 | 5.3 |
| February 2026 | 12.91 | 6.0 |
| March 2026 | 1.13 | 4.3 |
| April 2026 | 8.78 | 6.2 |
| May 2026 | 24.48 | 5.5 |
| June 2026 | 20.90 | 7.8 |
| July 2026 | 17.71 | 7.3 |
Source :Department of Commerce and CSO
How did the exchange rate fare during July 2026 and what was the recent trend in Re-Dollar movement? In order to get a clearer picture of the recent Re-Dollar trend, not only we took the exchange rate of July 2026, but also considered monthly average exchange rate of Rupee vis-à-vis the US Dollar for each month of fiscal 2025-26 and fiscal 2026-27 as per the latest data published, as mere one-month figure does not reflect any trend. The following two tables clearly depicts the short-term trend.
Indian Rupee again depreciated vis-à-vis the US Dollar on a month-on-month basis in July 2026 and this time by 0.9 percent. On a year-on-year basis, the depreciation was as high as 11.28 percent.
(Monthly Average Rate of FBIL has been considered)
Source : FBIL
(As per latest data released by FBIL)
| Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) | Year-on-Year Change (%) | Direction | Month-on-Month Change (%) | Direction | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | 2025-26 | 2026-27 | ||||
| April | 85.56 | 93.55 | 9.34 | Depreciation | 0.85 | Depreciation |
| May | 85.19 | 95.60 | 12.22 | Depreciation | 2.19 | Depreciation |
| June | 85.90 | 94.97 | 10.56 | Depreciation | -0.66 | Appreciation |
| July | 86.11 | 95.82 | 11.28 | Depreciation | 0.90 | Depreciation |
| August | 87.52 | 95.47 | 9.08 | Depreciation | -0.37 | Depreciation |
(As per latest data released by FBIL)
| Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) | Year-on-Year Change (%) | Direction | Month-on-Month Change (%) | Direction | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month | 2024-25 | 2025-26 | ||||
| April | 83.41 | 85.56 | 2.58 | Depreciation | -1.25 | Appreciation |
| May | 83.39 | 85.19 | 2.16 | Depreciation | -0.43 | Appreciation |
| June | 83.47 | 85.90 | 2.91 | Depreciation | 0.83 | Depreciation |
| July | 83.59 | 86.11 | 3.01 | Depreciation | 0.24 | Depreciation |
| August | 83.90 | 87.52 | 4.31 | Depreciation | 1.64 | Depreciation |
| September | 83.81 | 88.32 | 5.38 | Depreciation | 0.91 | Depreciation |
| October | 84.03 | 88.42 | 5.22 | Depreciation | 0.11 | Depreciation |
| November | 84.36 | 88.83 | 5.30 | Depreciation | 0.46 | Depreciation |
| December | 84.99 | 90.09 | 6.00 | Depreciation | 1.42 | Depreciation |
| January | 86.26 | 90.80 | 5.25 | Depreciation | 0.79 | Depreciation |
| February | 87.05 | 90.77 | 4.27 | Depreciation | -0.03 | Appreciation |
| March | 86.64 | 92.76 | 7.06 | Depreciation | 2.19 | Depreciation |
Source : FBIL, EEPC Research
We now present the trend in two-way yearly trade for the engineering sector for the 2026-27 depicted in the table below:
(US$ million)
| Trade Flow | April | May | June | July | August |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Engineering Export | 10.4 | 12.31 | 11.48 | 12.24 | 12.32 |
| Engineering Import | 14.4 | 14.36 | 14.19 | 15.66 | 15.06 |
| Trade Balance | -4.0 | -2.05 | -2.71 | -3.42 | -2.74 |
Source : DGCI&S
Engineering exports reached USD 12.24 billion in July 2026, registering a robust 18 per cent year-on-year growth, while cumulative exports during first quarter that is April-July 2026-27 rose to USD 46.38 billion, an impressive 18.21 per cent increase over the corresponding period of the previous year. Notably, engineering exports grew faster than India’s overall merchandise exports, which increased by 17 per cent during the same period. Engineering’s share in India’s merchandise exports consequently rose to 26.7 per cent in the April-July 2026-27. Importantly, exports remained above USD 10 billion in all the first five months of FY 2026-27, which may indicate a strengthening export base. This performance becomes particularly significant when viewed against the latest global trade trends. The WTO Goods Trade Barometer stood at 101.7 in June 2026, indicating that merchandise trade volumes remained above trend, although the index had eased from 102.3 earlier in the year. Higher energy and shipping costs, geopolitical tensions, protectionist measures and increasingly stringent technical and regulatory requirements could raise the cost of market access. UNCTAD notes that non-tariff measures such as technical regulations, health and safety requirements and certification procedures remain a major source of trade costs, particularly for developing economies. In these challenging times, it is important for the Indian engineering exporters sustain the present momentum which can be achieved with greater competitiveness, scale, technological upgrading, compliance capacity and market diversification. The initiative has to be taken by the industry but the support from the Government of India will also play a significant role to ensure that the export growth remains sustainable.