Engineering exports continued to grow in 2026-27 after achieving record high in 2025-26

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August-2026 engineering exports hit peak growth for fiscal 2026-2027

After an impressive first quarter performance with over 18 percent year-on-year growth, engineering exports from India in fiscal 2026-27 continued to run on the growth path with nearly 18 percent year-on-year growth in July 2026 even amid geo-political uncertainty along major trade route of India in the West Asian region.  Engineering exports in July 2026 was recorded at USD 12.24 billion as against USD 10.40 billion in the same month last fiscal, which was the second monthly highest shipment in 2026-27 after May 2026. On a cumulative basis, engineering exports during April-July 2026-27 stood at USD 46.38 billion as against USD 39.24 billion in the same period last fiscal, registering a growth of 18.21 percent. As per the Quick Estimates of the Government, share of engineering in India's total merchandise exports was recorded at 27.7 percent during July 2026 while on a cumulative basis, the share was 26.7 percent during April-July 2026-27. This growth in year-on-year engineering exports in the first four months of 2026-27 was attributed to high growth in shipments of Electric machinery and equipment, Copper and products; Ships boats and floating structures; Aluminium and products, Iron and steel, and Motor vehicles/cars among others. Region wise analysis depicted that exports to all regions increased during April-July 2026-27 over the years but exports to WANA and CIS declined in July 2026. Exports to North America, the topmost export destination for engineering, surged by 13.8 percent in 2026-27.

Trade Flow Export figures(in $ billion) Growth (%)
Jul-2025 Jul-2026 Apr-Jul 2025-26 Apr-Jul 2026-27 Jul-2026 over Jul-2025 Apr-Jul 2025-26 over Apr-Jul 2026-27
Engineering exports 9.87 12.32 49.10 58.70 24.86% 19.55%
Overall Merchandise exports 34.74 43.81 183.21 215.91 26.12% 17.85%
Share of engineering (%) 28.41% 28.12% 26.80% 27.19% --- ---
Service Exports 31.19 38.87 162.34 183.36 24.62% 12.95%

Source : Compiled from data by DGCI&S and Quick Estimates published by the Government of India.


Engineering Exports: Monthly Trend

The monthly engineering export figures for 2026-27 vis-à-vis 2025-26 are shown below as per the latest DGCI&S estimates:

Table 1: Engineering Exports: Monthly Trend in 2026-27

US$ million

Month 2025-26 2026-27 Growth (%)
April 9515.77 10351.01 8.78
May 9890.43 12311.33 24.48
June 9506.71 11478.69 20.74
April-June 28912.91 34143.99 18.09
July 10399.9 12242.18 17.71
August 9867.17 12319.81 24.86
April-August 49104.53 58704.34 19.55

Source : DGCIS, Govt. of India

TOP 25 ENGINEERING EXPORT DESTINATIONS IN April-August 2026-27

We now look at the export scenario of the top 25 nations that had highest demand for Indian engineering products during July 2026 over July 2025 as well as in cumulative terms during April-July 2026-27 vis-à-vis April-July 2025-26. The data clearly shows that top 25 countries contribute more than 75 % of total engineering exports.

Table 2: Engineering exports country wise

(US$ million)

Countries Jul-2025 Jul-2026 Growth (%) April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
U S A 1679.73 2200.03 30.98% 8631.54 9971.84 15.53%
U K 382.92 492.61 28.64% 1922.58 2299.59 19.61%
GERMANY 412.77 487.97 18.22% 2030.36 2317.74 14.15%
U ARAB EMTS 649.12 475.93 -26.68% 3077.86 3008.27 -2.26%
KOREA RP 220.93 466.06 110.95% 1172.67 1624.69 38.55%
CHINA P RP 242.5 424.65 75.11% 1087.75 1774.28 63.12%
SOUTH AFRICA 309.78 392.97 26.86% 1156.97 1510.96 30.6%
MEXICO 309.2 360.24 16.51% 1385.51 1649.46 19.05%
INDONESIA 103.62 292.3 182.1% 676.61 1031.26 52.42%
ITALY 302.66 285.03 -5.83% 1379.26 1382 0.2%
SINGAPORE 189.98 282.81 48.86% 1780.46 2004.68 12.59%
JAPAN 164.65 278.38 69.08% 1057.94 1399.57 32.29%
AUSTRALIA 127.15 275.97 117.03% 612.1 980.41 60.17%
BRAZIL 216.02 237.47 9.93% 1075 1136.28 5.7%
FRANCE 190.56 233.03 22.29% 930.27 1198.79 28.86%
MALAYSIA 141.09 231.24 63.89% 545.48 1150.86 110.98%
SRI LANKA DSR 127.74 230.84 80.72% 548.48 1323.96 141.39%
NEPAL 211.94 227.09 7.15% 1008.14 1118.84 10.98%
SAUDI ARAB 358.93 224.94 -37.33% 1836.93 1640.67 -10.68%
TURKEY 162.05 224.36 38.45% 862.12 908.93 5.43%
THAILAND 174.78 222.29 27.18% 904.1 926.53 2.48%
OMAN 57.37 197.99 245.11% 340.86 800.01 134.7%
VIETNAM SOC REP 142.46 191.32 34.3% 614.9 1023.52 66.45%
NETHERLAND 194.95 187.52 -3.81% 927.9 979.8 5.59%
BANGLADESH PR 174.75 162.28 -7.14% 862.19 745.45 -13.54%
Total engineering exports to top 25 countries 7247.65 9285.33 28.12% 36428 43908.39 20.53%
Total engineering exports 9867.17 12319.81 24.86% 49104.53 58704.34 19.55%

Source : DGCI&S

REGION WISE INDIA’S ENGINEERING EXPORTS

The following table depicts region wise India’s engineering exports for April-July 2026 as compared to April-July 2025

Note: Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.

Regional observations:

  • · In July 2026, India’s exports grew to almost all destinations barring Saudi Arabia (-12.1%), Thailand (-9.1%) and Turkey (-5.6%)
  • · In Saudi Arabia, the logistics crisis in an around the Hormuz strait has affect India’s exports significantly. Furthermore most of Saudi Arabia’s engineering imports are project linked and the ongoing conflict in the region has affected some projects and Saudi Arabia’s purchasing activity has weekened in the recent times
  • · In Thailand, the decline is mainly in IC engines and parts which can be explained by Thailand’s consistent shift towards electric vehicles. Furthermore growing competition from RCEP members and increasing cost of compliance for Indian exporters exporting under AIFTA can also have some impact on India’s exports to the region

In case of Turkey while exports have come down the postitive thing is that, the decline was in double digits a few months ago which has now come down significantly  

Table 3: Region wise engineering exports in April-February 2023-2024 vis-à-vis April-August 2025-2026

(US$ million)

Regions Jul-2025 Jul-2026 Growth (%) April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
NORTH AMERICA 2117.84 2721.76 28.52% 10574.56 12346.6 16.76%
EUROPEAN UNION 1810.33 1958.69 8.2% 8720.95 9742.07 11.71%
ASEAN 840.47 1311.01 55.99% 4998.63 6600.22 32.04%
N E ASIA 714.26 1286.62 80.13% 3807.37 5409 42.07%
WANA 1450.02 1286.27 -11.29% 7080.89 7299.97 3.09%
SSA( Sub Saharan Africa) 888.13 1165.56 31.24% 3882.1 5021.91 29.36%
OTHER EUROPE 584.26 763.63 30.7% 2979.01 3510.14 17.83%
LATIN AMERICA 566.35 754.72 33.26% 2967.46 3459.05 16.57%
SOUTH ASIA 567.19 684.97 20.77% 2692.74 3561.34 32.26%
OCEANIA 139.3 286.91 105.97% 673.17 1042.37 54.84%
CIS 165.46 87.11 -47.35% 655.56 624.09 -4.8%
OTHERS 23.57 12.56 -46.7% 72.09 87.57 21.48%

Note : *Figures have been rounded off.

Source : DGCI&S **Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.

PRODUCT PANEL WISE ENGINEERING EXPORTS

The following table depicts panel wise India’s engineering exports for April-July 2026 as compared to April-July 2025

Sectoral Observations 

India’s engineering exports grew by about 18.2% in April–July 2026-27 to around US$46.38 billion, with mixed performance across panels:

a) Exports of iron and steel rose by 15% during April–July 2026-27, supported by higher shipments of primary steel growing by 31.8%, while products of iron and steel witnessed a marginal decrease of 1.3% Overall, India’s steel exports rose 15% to US$7.65 billion during April–July 2026-27, supported by strong demand from the USA, UAE, Italy and UK (EU Countries), Nepal, Vietnam, Netherland , Germany and Belgium (EU markets), and Korea Rep.

As per the latest Ministry of Steel estimates, during April to July FY 2026-27, India became a net exporter of steel, with exports marginally exceeding imports by 0.03 million tonnes. During this period, finished steel exports stood at 1.70 million tonnes, while imports were 1.67 million tonnes. In July 2025, India's finished steel exports increased to 0.49 million tonnes from 0.45 million tonnes in June 2025. At the same time, imports declined significantly to 0.28 million tonnes from 0.44 million tonnes in the previous month, further strengthening the country's trade position in steel. On the raw material front, NMDC iron ore lump prices declined to ?5,700 per tonne in July 2025, compared with ?6,300 per tonne in June 2025, indicating a moderation in domestic iron ore prices. Meanwhile, domestic steel prices softened during the month. Retail prices in the Mumbai market for TMT (10 mm), HRC (2.50 mm) and CRC (0.63 mm) recorded month-on-month declines of 4.1%, 2.9% and 3.2%, respectively, as of 31 July 2025 compared with their levels at the end of June 2025.

Again non-ferrous panel emerged as a significant growth driver as copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel and tin indicated double-digit export growth. Decline was only noted in lead and lead products

Table 4a. Trend in exports of iron and steel and its products

(US$ million)

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
IRON AND STEEL 841.53 1279.12 52% 4036.63 5489.21 35.98%
PRODUCTS OF IRON AND STEEL 890.16 933.68 4.89% 4375.34 4374.1 -0.03%
Sub Total 1731.68 2212.8 28% 8411.97 9863.31 17%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4b. Trend in exports of Non-Ferrous Metals and Products

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Aluminium and products made of Aluminium 543.87 736.16 35.36% 2571.72 3819.97 48.54%
Copper and products made of copper 226.83 598.96 164.05% 1024.9 2067.41 101.72%
Lead and products made of Lead 96.23 58.59 -39.11% 442.07 334.82 -24.26%
Nickel and products made of Nickel 15.88 18.09 13.95% 70.82 89.01 25.68%
Other Non Ferrous Metals and their products 85.29 97.18 13.95% 436.99 494.62 13.19%
Tin and products made of Tin 2.82 7.23 156.52% 12.52 33.58 168.1%
Zinc and products made of zinc 57.96 61.19 5.56% 257.88 371.93 44.23%
Sub Total 1028.88 1577.41 53% 4816.91 7211.34 50%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4c. Trend in exports of Industrial Machinery

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Air condition and Refrigeration Machinery and Parts, Industrial Furnaces, Water heaters and Centrifuges and Compressor 179.8 219.18 21.9% 924.67 1022.04 10.53%
IC Engines and Parts 350.63 414.62 18.25% 1767.64 1830.39 3.55%
Industrial Machinery for dairy, agriculture, food processing, textiles, paper, chemicals, etc 760.24 760.74 0.06% 3712.68 3859.61 3.96%
Machine Tools 85.31 71.23 -16.5% 389.72 365.23 -6.29%
Machinery for ATMs, Injecting Moulding machinery, valves, etc 258.37 274.07 6.08% 1288.15 1325.63 2.91%
Nuclear Reactors, Industrial Boilers and Parts 86.23 211.54 145.33% 394.45 575.4 45.87%
Pumps of all types 133.07 155.21 16.63% 657.39 707.18 7.57%
Sub Total 1853.65 2106.6 13.65% 9134.7 9685.49 6.03%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4d. Trend in exports of Electrical Machinery and Equipment

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Electric Machinery and Equipment 1151.17 1595.2 38.57% 6381.79 7992.11 25.23%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4e. Trend in exports of Auto and auto parts

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
AUTO COMPONENTS/PARTS 766.221 851.492 11.13% 3646.74 3904.975 7.08%
AUTO TYRES AND TUBES 254.226 295.827 16.36% 1328.275 1419.175 6.84%
Motor Vehicle/cars 1017.688 1049.774 3.15% 4353.944 4912.085 12.82%
Two and Three Wheelers 347.13 426.169 22.77% 1561.915 1989.336 27.37%
Sub Total 2385.265 2623.262 9.98% 10890.873 12225.571 12.26%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4f. Trend in exports of aircraft, spacecraft and parts and ships, boats and floating structures

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Aircrafts, Spacecrafts and Parts 135.22 162.96 20.51% 673.44 781.75 478.13%
Ships, Boats and Floating Structures 94.59 367.8 288.82% 1707.01 3084.77 3161.03%
Sub Total 229.82 530.76 130.95% 2380.45 3866.53 62.43%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4g. Trend in exports of other engineering products

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
BICYCLE AND PARTS 42.97 47.02 9.43% 196.09 214.31 9.29%
Cranes, Lifts and Winchescopper 94.19 106.68 13.26% 469.44 473.09 0.78%
Hand Tools, Cutting Tools and Implements made of Metals 88.95 99.64 12.02% 444.88 474.14 6.58%
Medical and Scientific Instrumentsents 239.68 283.11 18.12% 1191.86 1294.84 8.64%
OFFICE EQUIPMENTS 34.48 33.11 -3.97% 159.54 146.57 -8.13%
OTHER CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 298.73 322.91 8.09% 1416.18 1604.75 13.32%
OTHER MISC. ENGINEERING ITEMS 466.46 538.14 15.37% 2207.53 2488.89 12.75%
PRIME MICA AND MICA PRODUCTS 2.92 3.23 10.58% 13.7 14.41 5.16%
Railway Transport and Parts 52.55 52.58 0.05% 190.8 285.79 49.79%
PROJECT GOODS 0.15 0.2 38.23% 0.57 0.81 42.46%
OTHR RUBBER PRODCT EXCPT FOOTW 165.63 187.16 13% 797.26 862.39 8.17%

Source : DGCI&S

ENGINEERING PRODUCT PANELS – COUNTRY-WISE ANALYSIS

We now analyze the performance of some of the important products for the fiscal April-July 2026 vis-à-vis April-July 2025. We have taken the major panels and computed the top importers to get an idea of the current trade pattern.

  •  In April-July 2026, USA, Nepal and Italy ranked as the top importers of Indian Iron and Steel, while the USA, UAE and Germany lead in import of products of Iron & Steel.
  •  The USA stood out as the primary importer of Indian 'Industrial machinery,' making up 22% of India's global exports in this category, followed by China and Germany with 5% ad 4% shares, respectively.
  •  South Africa, Mexico and Saudi Arab were top importers of India's Automobiles during April-July 2026 in India’s global exports respectively over the same period previous fiscal.  
  • USA, China, South Korea and Saudi Arab were the top importers of India's Non-ferrous metals and products during April-July 2026. 
  • USA, Singapore  and UK were the top importers of Indian Electrical Machinery & Components during the same period with  18%, 11% and 8% shares, respectively. 
  •  USA, France, Maldives, UK and Germany were the top importers of India's Aircrafts and Spacecraft during April-July 2026, making up to 71% of India’s total export of Aircrafts and Spacecraft. 
  •  UAE, Singapore and Sri Lanka became the largest importer of ships, boats and floating structures during April- July 2026 in India’s global exports respectively over the same period previous fiscal. 
  •  For the auto components’ product group, USA remained the top importer in April-July 2026 followed by Germany, Brazil, Mexico and Bangladesh.
Table 5: Export of Different Panels

(US$ million)

Product panels Top 5 nations April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
Iron and Steel and Products made of Iron and Steel
U S A 1663.2 2319.51 39%
U ARAB EMTS 577.28 596.85 3%
ITALY 598.97 482.75 -19%
U K 331.13 450.74 36%
NEPAL 341.08 391.23 15%
Non-Ferrous Metals and Products made of Non-Ferrous Metals
U S A 750.98 956.33 27%
KOREA RP 432.81 694.27 60%
CHINA P RP 286.31 627.64 119%
SAUDI ARAB 383.41 473.06 23%
JAPAN 148.5 307.23 107%
Industrial Machinery
U S A 1941.72 2052.74 6%
AUSTRALIA 169.38 468.44 177%
CHINA P RP 357.05 445.22 25%
GERMANY 412.46 419.73 2%
U ARAB EMTS 507.65 375.05 -26%
Electrical Machinery
U S A 1347.87 1435.29 6%
SINGAPORE 608.1 837.06 38%
U K 667.22 693.12 4%
GERMANY 461.45 573.08 24%
MALAYSIA 138.47 540.42 290%
Automobiles
U S A 989.79 1141.09 15%
MEXICO 806.26 927 15%
SOUTH AFRICA 785.17 871.33 11%
SAUDI ARAB 682.15 477.89 -30%
JAPAN 426.28 470.16 10%
Aircrafts and Spacecraft parts and products
U S A 199.7 251.75 26%
FRANCE 122.23 127.44 4%
U K 78.17 69.34 -11%
MALDIVES 0.57 60.1 10361%
MALAYSIA 21.23 36.98 74%
Ships Boats and Floating products and parts
U ARAB EMTS 559.68 986.05 76%
SINGAPORE 690.36 656.08 -5%
SRI LANKA DSR 90.79 502.97 454%
OMAN 65.94 246.99 275%
INDONESIA 96.23 164.71 71%
Project Goods
U S A 0.1 0.26 158%
SUDAN 0 0.1 N/A
FRANCE 0.05 0.09 83%
BELGIUM 0 0.04 4585%
BHUTAN 0 0.03 573%
Other Rubber Product Except Footwear
U S A 185.52 176.47 -5%
GERMANY 56.65 56.28 -1%
CHINA P RP 31.55 44.89 42%
THAILAND 18.85 33.06 75%
U ARAB EMTS 32.16 31.73 -1%
Other engineering products
U S A 1550.76 1635.12 5%
U K 308.11 364.2 18%
GERMANY 323.77 333.24 3%
U ARAB EMTS 332.58 244.37 -27%
BRAZIL 179.84 195.64 9%

Source : DGCI&S

ENGINEERING EXPORTS – STATE-WISE ANALYSIS

State wise engineering export performance

India’s state-wise engineering exports during April-July 2026-27 reflect robust growth with significant contributions from western and southern states.

Maharashtra remained the largest engineering exporting state, with exports rising to US$ 9.0 billion, accounting for 19% of India’s total engineering exports, although growth was relatively moderate at 7%. Gujarat emerged as one of the strongest growth drivers among the top exporting states, with exports surging 36% to US$ 7.2 billion, capturing a 16% share. Tamil Nadu retained its position as the third-largest exporter, registering 7% growth to US$ 7.18 billion and contributing 15% to the country's engineering exports. Karnataka and Odisha also recorded impressive growth of 32% and 69%, respectively, highlighting the increasing diversification of India’s engineering export base. Haryana maintained its strong position with exports growing by 12% to US$ 3.16 billion, while Delhi recorded a notable 25% increase in exports. Among the emerging contributors, Uttarakhand posted the highest growth rate among major exporting states, with exports more than doubling by 131% during the period.

Table 6: Top state wise engineering export performance - April-January 2025-26

(US$ million)

Top States Cumulative Export April-January 2025-26 Share % Remark
Maharashtra 9002.263806 19.41% 91% share covered by top 12 states
Gujarat 7199.068705 15.52%
Tamil Nadu 7180.333669 15.48%
Karnataka 3863.537776 8.33%
Haryana 3161.612301 6.82%
Odisha 3068.907955 6.62%
Delhi 1962.643404 4.23%
Uttar Pradesh 1581.200954 3.41%
West Bengal 1559.072079 3.36%
Rajasthan 1296.695018 2.8%
Andhra Pradesh 1253.307249 2.7%
Punjab 1005.792055 2.17%
Telangana 902.1049198 1.94%
Madhya Pradesh 743.8499594 1.6%
DADRA,NH,DAMAN,DIU 666.649629 1.44%
Kerala 418.6473398 0.9%
Uttarakhand 374.7063559 0.81%
Chhattisgarh 324.5452778 0.7%
JHARKHAND 284.7706012 0.61%
Goa 266.6275854 0.57%
Bihar 84.34716688 0.18%
Puducherry 66.91154219 0.14%
Himachal Pradesh 66.54811583 0.14%
CHANDIGARH 23.2553949 0.05%
Assam 11.18631801 0.02%
TRIPURA 0.89954665 0%
MANIPUR 0.447117976 0%
SIKKIM 0.339378285 0%
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0.243958608 0%
Meghalaya 0.154116906 0%
LADAKH 0.011519783 0%
LAKSHADWEEP 0.002140265 0%
NAGALAND 0.000847883 0%
MIZORAM 0.00046254 0%
ANDAMAN AND NICOBAR ISLANDS 0 0%
Others 0%
Jammu & Kashmir 0%

Source : DGCI&S

Region wise engineering exports

India’s region-wise engineering exports during April-July 2026 registered a strong growth of 18%, increasing to US$ 46.38 billion from US$ 39.24 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The Western Region continued to dominate India's engineering exports, with shipments rising by 19% to US$ 17.88 billion, accounting for the largest 38.5% share of total exports.

The Southern Region remained the second-largest contributor, recording exports of US$ 13.68 billion, a growth of 11% over April-July 2025, and accounting for 29.5% of total engineering exports.

The Northern Region posted a healthy growth of 15%, with exports increasing to US$ 9.48 billion, contributing 20.4% to the national total.

The Eastern Region emerged as the fastest-growing region, registering an impressive 49% increase in engineering exports to US$ 5.33 billion. Its share in total exports reached 11.5%, reflecting growing export momentum from the region.

Overall, India's engineering export performance during April-July 2026 was driven by broad-based growth across all regions, with the Western Region retaining its leadership position while the Eastern Region demonstrated the strongest pace of expansion.

Key Products driving exports in top states:

  •  Maharashtra: Export performance was driven by industrial machinery, products of iron & steel, iron & steel, electric machinery, motor vehicles and auto components, reinforcing its position as India’s largest engineering exporting state.
  •  Tamil Nadu: Exports were led by motor vehicles, auto components, electric machinery and industrial machinery. In addition, ship, boat and floating structures emerged as a key growth segment during the period.
  •  Gujarat: The state’s export surge was driven primarily by ship, boat and floating structures, followed by motor vehicles, products of iron & steel, industrial machinery and copper products, indicating broad-based expansion across engineering sectors.
  •  Karnataka: Growth was supported by a significant jump in electric machinery, along with strong exports of aircraft, spacecraft and parts, iron & steel, auto components and other high-technology engineering products, highlighting the state's increasing specialization in advanced manufacturing.
  •  Haryana: Export growth was led by motor vehicles, electric machinery, auto components and industrial machinery, supported by a strong automotive manufacturing ecosystem. The state also recorded notable contributions from two- and three-wheelers, reinforcing its position as a major transport equipment hub.
  •  Odisha: Export growth was overwhelmingly driven by aluminium and aluminium products and iron & steel, which together accounted for the bulk of the state's engineering exports. Additional contributions came from ship, boat and floating structures and electric machinery, reflecting increasing diversification beyond metals.
  •  West Bengal: Export performance was led by iron & steel, followed by products of iron & steel. The state also witnessed notable growth in ship, boat and floating structures, other non-ferrous metal products and aluminium products, supporting its strong export growth during the period.

Disclaimer: Please note the following disclaimer given by the DGCI&S whereby it is stated that state-wise export figures are based on state of origin code in shipping bills and June not give the right estaimate. 

Note : DGCI&S state wise data available till Jul-2026

Table 7: Region wise exports from India till Jul-2026

Value in US$ million

Region Apr-Jul 2025-26($Mn) Apr-Jul 2026-27 ($Mn) Growth %
SOUTHERN REGION 12360.39 13684.84 10.72%
EASTERN REGION 3572.11 5334.91 49.35%
WESTERN REGION 15028.79 17878.46 18.96%
NORTHERN REGION 8264.44 9472.47 14.62%
Grand Total 39225.72 46370.68 18.21%

CORRELATION BETWEEN MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION AND ENGINEERING EXPORTS

Engineering forms a considerable part of the broader manufacturing sector and the share of engineering production in overall manufacturing output is quite significant. As exports generally come from what is produced within a country, some correlation between manufacturing production growth and engineering export growth should exist. We briefly look at the trend in manufacturing growth as also engineering export growth to see if they move in tandem. It may be mentioned that manufacturing has 77.63% weightage in India’s industrial production.

Engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the same direction in as many as nine out of twelve months in each of the fiscal years 2019-20 and 2020-21. During fiscal 2021-22, engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of twelve months while in each of fiscal 2022-23 and 2023-24, as many as 10 out of 12 months saw engineering exports and manufacturing output moved in the same direction. In 2024-25, both moved in the same direction in eight out of 12 months and in 2025-26, both engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of 12 months.

The first month of fiscal 2026-27 saw manufacturing output growth (new series with base year 2022-23) engineering export growth and moved in the same direction with both securing higher growth over the previous month. May and June 2026, however witnessed both of them moving in the opposite direction. While May 2026 saw higher engineering export growth but moderated manufacturiong output growth, June 2026 witnessed just the reverse.

The link between these two may not be established in one or two months, but a positive correlation may be seen if medium to long term trend is considered. 

Table 8: Engineering exports growth vis-à-vis manufacturing growth from April 2020
Months/ Year Engg. Export Growth (%) Manufacturing Growth (%)
April 2020 -63.05 -66.6
May 2020 -22.17 -37.8
June 2020 -5.18 -17.0
July 2020 10.56 -11.4
August 2020 -7.01 -7.6
September 2020 4.09 0.4
October 2020 -5.01 4.5
November 2020 -8.37 -1.6
December 2020 -0.93 2.7
January 2021 16.66 -0.9
February 2021 -4.94 -3.4
March 2021 67.75 28.3
April 2021 236.85 196.0
May 2021 50.21 32.1
June 2021 51.00 13.2
July 2021 42.57 10.5
August 2021 58.63 11.1
September 2021 35.11 4.3
October 2021 51.76 3.3
November 2021 37.28 0.3
December 2021 47.42 0.6
January 2022 25.63 1.9
February 2022 35.49 0.2
March 2022 19.72 1.4
April 2022 18.30 5.6
May 2022 11.45 20.6
June 2022 3.01 13.0
July 2022 -0.03 3.2
August 2022 -12.64 -0.5
September 2022 -11.39 2.0
October 2022 -19.68 -5.8
November 2022 0.09 6.7
December 2022 -11.60 3.6
January 2023 -9.76 4.0
February 2023 -9.73 5.6
March 2023 -7.49 0.5
April 2023 -7.27 5.5
May 2023 -4.13 6.3
June 2023 -10.94 3.5
July 2023 -6.65 5.0
August 2023 7.83 9.3
September 2023 6.81 4.5
October 2023 7.20 N A
November 2023 -3.48 1.2
December 2023 9.82 4.5
January 2024 4.21 3.6
February 2024 15.9 5.0
March 2024 10.66 N A
April 2024 -4.49 3.9
May 2024 7.41 4.6
June 2024 10.27 N A
July 2024 3.66 4.6
August 2024 4.26 1.0
September 2024 9.44 3.9
October 2024 38.39 4.1
November 2024 13.72 5.5
December 2024 8.33 3.4
January 2025 7.46 5.5
February 2025 -8.64 2.9
April 2025 -3.92 3.0
May 2025 -0.80 2.6
June 2025 1.28 2.9
July 2025 13.86 5.4
August 2025 4.90 3.8
September 2025 2.93 4.8
October 2025 -16.72 1.8
November 2025 23.79 8.0
December 2026 1.29 8.4
January 2026 10.35 5.3
February 2026 12.91 6.0
March 2026 1.13 4.3
April 2026 8.78 6.2
May 2026 24.48 5.5
June 2026 20.90 7.8
July 2026 17.71 7.3

Source :Department of Commerce and CSO

IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE ON INDIA’S EXPORTS

How did the exchange rate fare during July 2026 and what was the recent trend in Re-Dollar movement? In order to get a clearer picture of the recent Re-Dollar trend, not only we took the exchange rate of July 2026, but also considered monthly average exchange rate of Rupee vis-à-vis the US Dollar for each month of fiscal 2025-26 and fiscal 2026-27 as per the latest data published, as mere one-month figure does not reflect any trend. The following two tables clearly depicts the short-term trend.

Indian Rupee again depreciated vis-à-vis the US Dollar on a month-on-month basis in July 2026 and this time by 0.9 percent. On a year-on-year basis, the depreciation was as high as 11.28 percent.

Fig 3: Trend of Rupee vis-a-vis US dollar from April 2020

(Monthly Average Rate of FBIL has been considered)

Source : FBIL

Table 9: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2025-26 vis-à-vis 2024-25

(As per latest data released by FBIL)

Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) Year-on-Year Change (%) Direction Month-on-Month Change (%) Direction
Month 2025-26 2026-27
April 85.56 93.55 9.34 Depreciation 0.85 Depreciation
May 85.19 95.60 12.22 Depreciation 2.19 Depreciation
June 85.90 94.97 10.56 Depreciation -0.66 Appreciation
July 86.11 95.82 11.28 Depreciation 0.90 Depreciation
August 87.52 95.47 9.08 Depreciation -0.37 Depreciation
Table 10: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2024-25 vis-à-vis 2023-24

(As per latest data released by FBIL)

Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) Year-on-Year Change (%) Direction Month-on-Month Change (%) Direction
Month 2024-25 2025-26
April 83.41 85.56 2.58 Depreciation -1.25 Appreciation
May 83.39 85.19 2.16 Depreciation -0.43 Appreciation
June 83.47 85.90 2.91 Depreciation 0.83 Depreciation
July 83.59 86.11 3.01 Depreciation 0.24 Depreciation
August 83.90 87.52 4.31 Depreciation 1.64 Depreciation
September 83.81 88.32 5.38 Depreciation 0.91 Depreciation
October 84.03 88.42 5.22 Depreciation 0.11 Depreciation
November 84.36 88.83 5.30 Depreciation 0.46 Depreciation
December 84.99 90.09 6.00 Depreciation 1.42 Depreciation
January 86.26 90.80 5.25 Depreciation 0.79 Depreciation
February 87.05 90.77 4.27 Depreciation -0.03 Appreciation
March 86.64 92.76 7.06 Depreciation 2.19 Depreciation

Source : FBIL, EEPC Research

TREND IN ENGINEERING TRADE BALANCE

We now present the trend in two-way yearly trade for the engineering sector for the 2026-27 depicted in the table below:

Table 11: Monthly Trend in Engineering Trade Balance for the current FY

(US$ million)

Trade Flow April May June July August
Engineering Export 10.4 12.31 11.48 12.24 12.32
Engineering Import 14.4 14.36 14.19 15.66 15.06
Trade Balance -4.0 -2.05 -2.71 -3.42 -2.74

Source : DGCI&S

TO CONCLUDE...

Engineering exports reached USD 12.24 billion in July 2026, registering a robust 18 per cent year-on-year growth, while cumulative exports during first quarter that is April-July 2026-27 rose to USD 46.38 billion, an impressive 18.21 per cent increase over the corresponding period of the previous year. Notably, engineering exports grew faster than India’s overall merchandise exports, which increased by 17 per cent during the same period. Engineering’s share in India’s merchandise exports consequently rose to 26.7 per cent in the April-July 2026-27. Importantly, exports remained above USD 10 billion in all the first five months of FY 2026-27, which may indicate a strengthening export base. This performance becomes particularly significant when viewed against the latest global trade trends. The WTO Goods Trade Barometer stood at 101.7 in June 2026, indicating that merchandise trade volumes remained above trend, although the index had eased from 102.3 earlier in the year. Higher energy and shipping costs, geopolitical tensions, protectionist measures and increasingly stringent technical and regulatory requirements could raise the cost of market access. UNCTAD notes that non-tariff measures such as technical regulations, health and safety requirements and certification procedures remain a major source of trade costs, particularly for developing economies. In these challenging times, it is important for the Indian engineering exporters sustain the present momentum which can be achieved with greater competitiveness, scale, technological upgrading, compliance capacity and market diversification. The initiative has to be taken by the industry but the support from the Government of India will also play a significant role to ensure that the export growth remains sustainable.