Engineering exports continued to grow in 2026-27 after achieving record high in 2025-26

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August-2026 engineering exports hit peak growth for fiscal 2026-2027

After two successive years of all-time high shipments, Indian engineering exports continued its growth run in the new fiscal 2026-27 also. During the month of April 2026, engineering exports from India was recorded at USD 10,351 million as against USD 9,515.77 million, registering a growth of 8.78 percent year-on-year. A noteworthy beginning in a new fiscal for Indian engineering indeed especially on the back of extreme adversity in production and logistics following geo-political crisis in West Asia and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz that routes a major share of India’s foreign trade. As per the government, the share of engineering in total merchandise exports was recorded at 23.8 percent in April 2026, a bit lower than 24.9 percent in April 2025. The growth in April 2026 was basically attributed to significant growth of Aluminium and its products (38%), Copper and its products (80%), Electric machinery and equipment (9.5%), two and three wheelers (36%), and Auto components/parts (7.2%) among others. Out of 34 products panels, as much as 28 panels achieved year-on-year growth in exports during the month. Among the exporting regions, top destination North America and EU saw growth of 7.1% and 13% respectively in April 2026. Exports to all regions recorded growth but exports to WANA and ASEAN continued to decline. Among the top exporting countries, exports to USA, UK and Germany increased in April 2026 over the years but shipments to UAE, Singapore and Saudi Arabia continued to drop.

Trade Flow Export figures(in $ billion) Growth (%)
Apr-2025 Apr-2026 Apr-Apr 2025-26 Apr-Apr 2026-27 Apr-2026 over Apr-2025 Apr-Apr 2025-26 over Apr-Apr 2026-27
Engineering exports 9.87 12.32 49.10 58.70 24.86% 19.55%
Overall Merchandise exports 34.74 43.81 183.21 215.91 26.12% 17.85%
Share of engineering (%) 28.41% 28.12% 26.80% 27.19% --- ---
Service Exports 31.19 38.87 162.34 183.36 24.62% 12.95%

Source : Compiled from data by DGCI&S and Quick Estimates published by the Government of India.


Engineering Exports: Monthly Trend

The monthly engineering export figures for 2026-27 vis-à-vis 2025-26 are shown below as per the latest DGCI&S estimates:

Table 1: Engineering Exports: Monthly Trend in 2026-27

US$ million

Month 2025-26 2026-27 Growth (%)
April 9515.77 10351.01 8.78
May 9890.43 12311.33 24.48
June 9506.71 11478.69 20.74
April-June 28912.91 34143.99 18.09
July 10399.9 12242.18 17.71
August 9867.17 12319.81 24.86
April-August 49104.53 58704.34 19.55

Source : DGCIS, Govt. of India

TOP 25 ENGINEERING EXPORT DESTINATIONS IN April-August 2026-27

We now look at the export scenario of the top 25 nations that had highest demand for Indian engineering products during April 2026 over April 2025. The data clearly shows that top 25 countries contribute more than 74 % of total engineering exports.

Table 2: Engineering exports country wise

(US$ million)

Countries Apr-2025 Apr-2026 Growth (%) April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
U S A 1679.73 2200.03 30.98% 8631.54 9971.84 15.53%
U K 382.92 492.61 28.64% 1922.58 2299.59 19.61%
GERMANY 412.77 487.97 18.22% 2030.36 2317.74 14.15%
U ARAB EMTS 649.12 475.93 -26.68% 3077.86 3008.27 -2.26%
KOREA RP 220.93 466.06 110.95% 1172.67 1624.69 38.55%
CHINA P RP 242.5 424.65 75.11% 1087.75 1774.28 63.12%
SOUTH AFRICA 309.78 392.97 26.86% 1156.97 1510.96 30.6%
MEXICO 309.2 360.24 16.51% 1385.51 1649.46 19.05%
INDONESIA 103.62 292.3 182.1% 676.61 1031.26 52.42%
ITALY 302.66 285.03 -5.83% 1379.26 1382 0.2%
SINGAPORE 189.98 282.81 48.86% 1780.46 2004.68 12.59%
JAPAN 164.65 278.38 69.08% 1057.94 1399.57 32.29%
AUSTRALIA 127.15 275.97 117.03% 612.1 980.41 60.17%
BRAZIL 216.02 237.47 9.93% 1075 1136.28 5.7%
FRANCE 190.56 233.03 22.29% 930.27 1198.79 28.86%
MALAYSIA 141.09 231.24 63.89% 545.48 1150.86 110.98%
SRI LANKA DSR 127.74 230.84 80.72% 548.48 1323.96 141.39%
NEPAL 211.94 227.09 7.15% 1008.14 1118.84 10.98%
SAUDI ARAB 358.93 224.94 -37.33% 1836.93 1640.67 -10.68%
TURKEY 162.05 224.36 38.45% 862.12 908.93 5.43%
THAILAND 174.78 222.29 27.18% 904.1 926.53 2.48%
OMAN 57.37 197.99 245.11% 340.86 800.01 134.7%
VIETNAM SOC REP 142.46 191.32 34.3% 614.9 1023.52 66.45%
NETHERLAND 194.95 187.52 -3.81% 927.9 979.8 5.59%
BANGLADESH PR 174.75 162.28 -7.14% 862.19 745.45 -13.54%
Total engineering exports to top 25 countries 7247.65 9285.33 28.12% 36428 43908.39 20.53%
Total engineering exports 9867.17 12319.81 24.86% 49104.53 58704.34 19.55%

Source : DGCI&S

REGION WISE INDIA’S ENGINEERING EXPORTS

The following table depicts region wise India’s engineering exports for April  2026 as compared to April  2025

Regional Observations:

While on the first month of the new fiscal, India’s engineering exports remained positive in almost all regions, decline was noted in only two regions: WANA and ASEAN:

WANA: The demand in the WANA region has declined mainly due to decline in exports to UAE and Saudi Arabia. As per latest reports both the countries faced significant challenges due to regional conflicts. As per Deloitte, Saudi Arabia’s Purchansing Manager’s Index contracted for the first time since 2020 in March 2026. UAE has also faced issues as it is a transhioment hub and depends significantly on key shipping routes which have been affected due to the conflicts. UAE’s non-oil PMI has also slowed down to 52.9 in March. Indian exporters are also facing stiff competition from Chinese suppliers and even Russian suppliers at some instance

ASEAN: In case of ASEAN, the decline has been noted in Philippines, Cambodia and Myanmar. The decline has been noted mainly in automobile and auto component exports. Also, decline was noted in Singapore in case of aircraft, spacecraft and parts

Table 3: Region wise engineering exports in April-February 2023-2024 vis-à-vis April-August 2025-2026

(US$ million)

Regions Apr-2025 Apr-2026 Growth (%) April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
NORTH AMERICA 2117.84 2721.76 28.52% 10574.56 12346.6 16.76%
EUROPEAN UNION 1810.33 1958.69 8.2% 8720.95 9742.07 11.71%
ASEAN 840.47 1311.01 55.99% 4998.63 6600.22 32.04%
N E ASIA 714.26 1286.62 80.13% 3807.37 5409 42.07%
WANA 1450.02 1286.27 -11.29% 7080.89 7299.97 3.09%
SSA( Sub Saharan Africa) 888.13 1165.56 31.24% 3882.1 5021.91 29.36%
OTHER EUROPE 584.26 763.63 30.7% 2979.01 3510.14 17.83%
LATIN AMERICA 566.35 754.72 33.26% 2967.46 3459.05 16.57%
SOUTH ASIA 567.19 684.97 20.77% 2692.74 3561.34 32.26%
OCEANIA 139.3 286.91 105.97% 673.17 1042.37 54.84%
CIS 165.46 87.11 -47.35% 655.56 624.09 -4.8%
OTHERS 23.57 12.56 -46.7% 72.09 87.57 21.48%

Note : *Figures have been rounded off.

Source : DGCI&S **Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.

PRODUCT PANEL WISE ENGINEERING EXPORTS

The following table depicts region wise India’s panel wise engineering exports for April 2026 as compared to April 2025

Sectoral Observations:

India’s engineering exports grew by about 8.8% in April 2026 to around US$ 10.35 billion, with mixed performance across panels:

a) Exports of iron and steel rose by 3% during April 2026, supported by higher shipments of primary steel, while products of iron and steel grew ata ahiger rate of 5% compared to the growth of 1.1% witnessed in exports of iron and steel. Overall, India’s steel exports rose 3% to US$1.67 billion during April26, supported by strong demand from the USA, Nepal, UK, Italy, Belgium, Korea Rep, Netherland, Vietnam and UAE, etc.

As reflected in the Ministry of Steel data, India’s crude steel production increased by 5.8% year-on-year to 14.1 Mt in April 2026, supported by a 3.4% rise in finished steel production (13.05 Mt), while finished steel consumption grew at a much faster pace of 8.1% to 12.99 Mt.

The higher growth in consumption compared to production highlights strong domestic demand conditions, driven by sustained activity across infrastructure, construction, and manufacturing sectors, indicating robust underlying economic momentum and tightening demand–supply dynamics.

b) The non-ferrous metals panel emerged as a major growth driver, with exports rising by 44% to US$1.3 billion during April 2026. Products like Copper, Aluminium and Zinc witnessed high growth in the first month of the current fiscal. Only exports of Lead declined by 2% mainly due to decline in exports to South Korea by 42%. However, overall engineering exports to Korea in April 2026 remained positive at 7%.

c) Exports of industrial machinery increased by 4% to US$1.82 billion during April 2026, driven by strong demand for Pumps and Valves, Machine Tools, Injecting moulding Machinery. However, exports of IC engines and parts grew only moderately.

d) Exports of electrical machinery grew by 10% to US$1.3 billion, supported by demand for power equipment, switchgear, and transmission-related products.

The automobile sector recorded robust growth of 10%, with exports reaching US$2.2 billion, led by South Africa, Mexico, Spain, SriLanka, Colombia, Nigeria,Indonesia witnessing strong growth, reflecting sustained demand for vehicles and components. Therefore, as a whole for auto components and parts, USA, Mexico, South Africa, Germany, Spain, UK, Peru, Indonesia while South Asia countries, witnessed a strong rebound mainly in Sri Lanka and also in Nepal that boosted auto and auto components and parts exports. However, shipments to Saudi Arabia, Japan, Brazil, Bangladesh, Italy and Australia decelerated 

Exports of other engineering products decelerated by 1% to US$1.25 billion, witnessing negative growth in Hand tools, Prime Mica and Other engineering items. In contrast, Railway Transport,  medical and scientific instruments and Bicycle and parts, ccranes lifts and Winches, office Equipments and Other Construction Machinery witnessed positive growth during April 2026 compared to April 2025.

Table 4a. Trend in exports of iron and steel and its products

(US$ million)

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
IRON AND STEEL 841.53 1279.12 52% 4036.63 5489.21 35.98%
PRODUCTS OF IRON AND STEEL 890.16 933.68 4.89% 4375.34 4374.1 -0.03%
Sub Total 1731.68 2212.8 28% 8411.97 9863.31 17%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4b. Trend in exports of Non-Ferrous Metals and Products

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Aluminium and products made of Aluminium 543.87 736.16 35.36% 2571.72 3819.97 48.54%
Copper and products made of copper 226.83 598.96 164.05% 1024.9 2067.41 101.72%
Lead and products made of Lead 96.23 58.59 -39.11% 442.07 334.82 -24.26%
Nickel and products made of Nickel 15.88 18.09 13.95% 70.82 89.01 25.68%
Other Non Ferrous Metals and their products 85.29 97.18 13.95% 436.99 494.62 13.19%
Tin and products made of Tin 2.82 7.23 156.52% 12.52 33.58 168.1%
Zinc and products made of zinc 57.96 61.19 5.56% 257.88 371.93 44.23%
Sub Total 1028.88 1577.41 53% 4816.91 7211.34 50%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4c. Trend in exports of Industrial Machinery

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Air condition and Refrigeration Machinery and Parts, Industrial Furnaces, Water heaters and Centrifuges and Compressor 179.8 219.18 21.9% 924.67 1022.04 10.53%
IC Engines and Parts 350.63 414.62 18.25% 1767.64 1830.39 3.55%
Industrial Machinery for dairy, agriculture, food processing, textiles, paper, chemicals, etc 760.24 760.74 0.06% 3712.68 3859.61 3.96%
Machine Tools 85.31 71.23 -16.5% 389.72 365.23 -6.29%
Machinery for ATMs, Injecting Moulding machinery, valves, etc 258.37 274.07 6.08% 1288.15 1325.63 2.91%
Nuclear Reactors, Industrial Boilers and Parts 86.23 211.54 145.33% 394.45 575.4 45.87%
Pumps of all types 133.07 155.21 16.63% 657.39 707.18 7.57%
Sub Total 1853.65 2106.6 13.65% 9134.7 9685.49 6.03%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4d. Trend in exports of Electrical Machinery and Equipment

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Electric Machinery and Equipment 1151.17 1595.2 38.57% 6381.79 7992.11 25.23%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4e. Trend in exports of Auto and auto parts

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
AUTO COMPONENTS/PARTS 766.221 851.492 11.13% 3646.74 3904.975 7.08%
AUTO TYRES AND TUBES 254.226 295.827 16.36% 1328.275 1419.175 6.84%
Motor Vehicle/cars 1017.688 1049.774 3.15% 4353.944 4912.085 12.82%
Two and Three Wheelers 347.13 426.169 22.77% 1561.915 1989.336 27.37%
Sub Total 2385.265 2623.262 9.98% 10890.873 12225.571 12.26%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4f. Trend in exports of aircraft, spacecraft and parts and ships, boats and floating structures

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
Aircrafts, Spacecrafts and Parts 135.22 162.96 20.51% 673.44 781.75 478.13%
Ships, Boats and Floating Structures 94.59 367.8 288.82% 1707.01 3084.77 3161.03%
Sub Total 229.82 530.76 130.95% 2380.45 3866.53 62.43%

Source : DGCI&S

Table 4g. Trend in exports of other engineering products

US$ Million

Product panels August-2025 August-2026 Growth April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth
BICYCLE AND PARTS 42.97 47.02 9.43% 196.09 214.31 9.29%
Cranes, Lifts and Winchescopper 94.19 106.68 13.26% 469.44 473.09 0.78%
Hand Tools, Cutting Tools and Implements made of Metals 88.95 99.64 12.02% 444.88 474.14 6.58%
Medical and Scientific Instrumentsents 239.68 283.11 18.12% 1191.86 1294.84 8.64%
OFFICE EQUIPMENTS 34.48 33.11 -3.97% 159.54 146.57 -8.13%
OTHER CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 298.73 322.91 8.09% 1416.18 1604.75 13.32%
OTHER MISC. ENGINEERING ITEMS 466.46 538.14 15.37% 2207.53 2488.89 12.75%
PRIME MICA AND MICA PRODUCTS 2.92 3.23 10.58% 13.7 14.41 5.16%
Railway Transport and Parts 52.55 52.58 0.05% 190.8 285.79 49.79%
PROJECT GOODS 0.15 0.2 38.23% 0.57 0.81 42.46%
OTHR RUBBER PRODCT EXCPT FOOTW 165.63 187.16 13% 797.26 862.39 8.17%

Source : DGCI&S

ENGINEERING PRODUCT PANELS – COUNTRY-WISE ANALYSIS

We now analyze the performance of some of the important products for the fiscal April 2026 vis-à-vis April 2025. We have taken the major panels and computed the top importers to get an idea of the current trade pattern.

Table 5: Export of Different Panels

(US$ million)

Product panels Top 5 nations April-August 2025-26 April-August 2026-27 Growth (%)
Iron and Steel and Products made of Iron and Steel
U S A 1663.2 2319.51 39%
U ARAB EMTS 577.28 596.85 3%
ITALY 598.97 482.75 -19%
U K 331.13 450.74 36%
NEPAL 341.08 391.23 15%
Non-Ferrous Metals and Products made of Non-Ferrous Metals
U S A 750.98 956.33 27%
KOREA RP 432.81 694.27 60%
CHINA P RP 286.31 627.64 119%
SAUDI ARAB 383.41 473.06 23%
JAPAN 148.5 307.23 107%
Industrial Machinery
U S A 1941.72 2052.74 6%
AUSTRALIA 169.38 468.44 177%
CHINA P RP 357.05 445.22 25%
GERMANY 412.46 419.73 2%
U ARAB EMTS 507.65 375.05 -26%
Electrical Machinery
U S A 1347.87 1435.29 6%
SINGAPORE 608.1 837.06 38%
U K 667.22 693.12 4%
GERMANY 461.45 573.08 24%
MALAYSIA 138.47 540.42 290%
Automobiles
U S A 989.79 1141.09 15%
MEXICO 806.26 927 15%
SOUTH AFRICA 785.17 871.33 11%
SAUDI ARAB 682.15 477.89 -30%
JAPAN 426.28 470.16 10%
Aircrafts and Spacecraft parts and products
U S A 199.7 251.75 26%
FRANCE 122.23 127.44 4%
U K 78.17 69.34 -11%
MALDIVES 0.57 60.1 10361%
MALAYSIA 21.23 36.98 74%
Ships Boats and Floating products and parts
U ARAB EMTS 559.68 986.05 76%
SINGAPORE 690.36 656.08 -5%
SRI LANKA DSR 90.79 502.97 454%
OMAN 65.94 246.99 275%
INDONESIA 96.23 164.71 71%
Project Goods
U S A 0.1 0.26 158%
SUDAN 0 0.1 N/A
FRANCE 0.05 0.09 83%
BELGIUM 0 0.04 4585%
BHUTAN 0 0.03 573%
Other Rubber Product Except Footwear
U S A 185.52 176.47 -5%
GERMANY 56.65 56.28 -1%
CHINA P RP 31.55 44.89 42%
THAILAND 18.85 33.06 75%
U ARAB EMTS 32.16 31.73 -1%
Other engineering products
U S A 1550.76 1635.12 5%
U K 308.11 364.2 18%
GERMANY 323.77 333.24 3%
U ARAB EMTS 332.58 244.37 -27%
BRAZIL 179.84 195.64 9%

Source : DGCI&S

ENGINEERING EXPORTS – STATE-WISE ANALYSIS

State wise engineering export performance

Overveiw of FY 2025-26:

  • · India’s engineering exports remain highly concentrated, with the top 12 states accounting for nearly 91% of total exports during April–March 2025–26, underscoring the dominance of a few industrial hubs.
  • · Maharashtra leads with exports of about USD 25.1 billion, registering an 11% growth (from USD 22.6 billion) and contributing 20% to the national total, driven by its strong engineering manufacturing base. Tamil Nadu follows with USD 20.4 billion (+12%, 17% share), while Gujarat recorded USD 18.2 billion (+9%, 15% share), reflecting continued strength in western and southern regions. Karnataka witnessed the highest growth among major states at 32% (USD 9.6 billion, 8% share), while Haryana grew by 18% to USD 8.9 billion (7% share).
  • · In contrast, Delhi saw a sharp contraction of 19% to USD 4.1 billion (3% share) and Telangana declined significantly, while moderate growth was seen in states like Odisha and Uttar Pradesh. Overall, export growth remains concentrated across western and southern industrial corridors, supported by strong manufacturing ecosystems and export-oriented infrastructure.
Table 6: Top state wise engineering export performance - April-January 2025-26

(US$ million)

Top States Cumulative Export April-January 2025-26 Share % Remark
Maharashtra 9002.263806 19.41% 91% share covered by top 12 states
Gujarat 7199.068705 15.52%
Tamil Nadu 7180.333669 15.48%
Karnataka 3863.537776 8.33%
Haryana 3161.612301 6.82%
Odisha 3068.907955 6.62%
Delhi 1962.643404 4.23%
Uttar Pradesh 1581.200954 3.41%
West Bengal 1559.072079 3.36%
Rajasthan 1296.695018 2.8%
Andhra Pradesh 1253.307249 2.7%
Punjab 1005.792055 2.17%
Telangana 902.1049198 1.94%
Madhya Pradesh 743.8499594 1.6%
DADRA,NH,DAMAN,DIU 666.649629 1.44%
Kerala 418.6473398 0.9%
Uttarakhand 374.7063559 0.81%
Chhattisgarh 324.5452778 0.7%
JHARKHAND 284.7706012 0.61%
Goa 266.6275854 0.57%
Bihar 84.34716688 0.18%
Puducherry 66.91154219 0.14%
Himachal Pradesh 66.54811583 0.14%
CHANDIGARH 23.2553949 0.05%
Assam 11.18631801 0.02%
TRIPURA 0.89954665 0%
MANIPUR 0.447117976 0%
SIKKIM 0.339378285 0%
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 0.243958608 0%
Meghalaya 0.154116906 0%
LADAKH 0.011519783 0%
LAKSHADWEEP 0.002140265 0%
NAGALAND 0.000847883 0%
MIZORAM 0.00046254 0%
ANDAMAN AND NICOBAR ISLANDS 0 0%
Jammu & Kashmir 0%
Others 0%

Source : DGCI&S

Region wise engineering exports

India’s region-wise engineering exports (DGCIS) grew by 5% to US$ 122.4 billion in April–March 2025–26, led by the Western Region at US$ 47.5 billion (+11%, 38.8% share). The Southern Region remained largely flat at US$ 38.1 billion (–1%, 31.1% share), while the Northern Region rose marginally by 2% to US$ 25.0 billion (20.4% share) and the Eastern Region grew by 7% to US$ 11.9 billion (9.7% share). Overall, exports remain concentrated in the Western and Southern regions (about 70%), with the West driving overall growth.

India’s state-wise engineering exports in April 2026 show moderate growth, led by Tamil Nadu and Gujarat (15–25% growth, ~16% share each), while Karnataka grew 30% (8% share) and Odisha surged 45% (6% share). Maharashtra remained the largest exporter at USD 2.1 billion (20% share) with flat growth, whereas Punjab and a few northern states saw declines. Overall, growth is driven by western and southern states.

India’s region-wise engineering exports in April 2026 grew by 9% to US$ 10.35 billion, driven largely by the Western Region at US$ 4.09 billion (+9%, 39.5% share). The Southern and Northern regions recorded moderate growth of about 5% each, reaching US$ 2.99 billion (28.9%) and US$ 2.16 billion (20.8%) respectively, while the Eastern Region showed the highest growth at 28% to US$ 1.12 billion (10.8%). Overall, exports continue to be led by the Western Region, with balanced contributions from other regions.

Key Products driving exports in top states:

  • · Maharashtra: Industrial machinery, auto components, motor vehicles, iron & steel, products of iron & steel
  • · Tamil Nadu: Motor vehicles, industrial machinery, electric machinery, auto components, ship/boat structures (sharp rise)
  • · Gujarat: Ship/boat structures (surge), motor vehicles, products of iron & steel, copper products, machinery
  • · Karnataka: Electric machinery (major jump), aircraft/spacecraft parts, auto components, engineering goods
  • · Haryana: Motor vehicles, auto components, electric machinery, industrial machinery, two-wheelers

Note : DGCI&S state wise data available till Apr-2026

Table 7: Region wise exports from India till Apr-2026

Value in US$ million

Region Apr-Apr 2025-26($Mn) Apr-Apr 2026-27 ($Mn) Growth %
SOUTHERN REGION 12360.39 13684.84 10.72%
EASTERN REGION 3572.11 5334.91 49.35%
WESTERN REGION 15028.79 17878.46 18.96%
NORTHERN REGION 8264.44 9472.47 14.62%
Grand Total 39225.72 46370.68 18.21%

CORRELATION BETWEEN MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION AND ENGINEERING EXPORTS

Engineering forms a considerable part of the broader manufacturing sector and the share of engineering production in overall manufacturing output is quite significant. As exports generally come from what is produced within a country, some correlation between manufacturing production growth and engineering export growth should exist. We briefly look at the trend in manufacturing growth as also engineering export growth to see if they move in tandem. It may be mentioned that manufacturing has 77.63% weightage in India’s industrial production.

Engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the same direction in as many as nine out of twelve months in each of the fiscal years 2019-20 and 2020-21. During fiscal 2021-22, engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of twelve months while in each of fiscal 2022-23 and 2023-24, as many as 10 out of 12 months saw engineering exports and manufacturing output moved in the same direction. In 2024-25, both moved in the same direction in eight out of 12 months.

The first two month of fiscal 2025-26 saw engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the opposite direction. In April, engineering export growth surged to double digit and manufacturing growth decelerated, while in May engineering export declined and manufacturing output growth inched up over the month. Then, In June, July and August 2025 however, both moved on the same direction. In June and July, both witnessed improvement in growth while in Aug 2025, both conceded moderation in growth. In September 2025 however, engineering growth continued to slowdown but manufacturing growth accelerated. Both engineering growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction during October to December 2025. October 2025 saw both going down with decline in engineering exports while November 2025 witnessed surged in both with substantially higher growth. In December 2025 however, while engineering exports grew, the growth rate slowed 

down whereas the manufacturing growth rate was maintained. The month of January 2026 saw acceleration in engineering export growth but moderation in manufacturing output growth while February 2026 witnessed higher growth of both over the month. The last month of fiscal 2025-26 saw a slowdown in both engineering export and manufacturing growth. During 2025-26, both engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of 12 months.

The link between these two may not be established in one or two months, but a positive correlation may be seen if medium to long term trend is considered.

Table 8: Engineering exports growth vis-à-vis manufacturing growth from April 2020
Months/ Year Engg. Export Growth (%) Manufacturing Growth (%)
April 2020 -63.05 -66.6
May 2020 -22.17 -37.8
June 2020 -5.18 -17.0
July 2020 10.56 -11.4
August 2020 -7.01 -7.6
September 2020 4.09 0.4
October 2020 -5.01 4.5
November 2020 -8.37 -1.6
December 2020 -0.93 2.7
January 2021 16.66 -0.9
February 2021 -4.94 -3.4
March 2021 67.75 28.3
April 2021 236.85 196.0
May 2021 50.21 32.1
June 2021 51.00 13.2
July 2021 42.57 10.5
August 2021 58.63 11.1
September 2021 35.11 4.3
October 2021 51.76 3.3
November 2021 37.28 0.3
December 2021 47.42 0.6
January 2022 25.63 1.9
February 2022 35.49 0.2
March 2022 19.72 1.4
April 2022 18.30 5.6
May 2022 11.45 20.6
June 2022 3.01 13.0
July 2022 -0.03 3.2
August 2022 -12.64 -0.5
September 2022 -11.39 2.0
October 2022 -19.68 -5.8
November 2022 0.09 6.7
December 2022 -11.60 3.6
January 2023 -9.76 4.0
February 2023 -9.73 5.6
March 2023 -7.49 0.5
April 2023 -7.27 5.5
May 2023 -4.13 6.3
June 2023 -10.94 3.5
July 2023 -6.65 5.0
August 2023 7.83 9.3
September 2023 6.81 4.5
October 2023 7.20 N A
November 2023 -3.48 1.2
December 2023 9.82 4.5
January 2024 4.21 3.6
February 2024 15.9 5.0
March 2024 10.66 N A
April 2024 -4.49 3.9
May 2024 7.41 4.6
June 2024 10.27 N A
July 2024 3.66 4.6
August 2024 4.26 1.0
September 2024 9.44 3.9
October 2024 38.39 4.1
November 2024 13.72 5.5
December 2024 8.33 3.4
January 2025 7.46 5.5
February 2025 -8.64 2.9
April 2025 -3.92 3.0
May 2025 -0.80 2.6
June 2025 1.28 2.9
July 2025 13.86 5.4
August 2025 4.90 3.8
September 2025 2.93 4.8
October 2025 -16.72 1.8
November 2025 23.79 8.0
December 2026 1.29 8.4
January 2026 10.35 5.3
February 2026 12.91 6.0
March 2026 1.13 4.3
April 2026 8.78 6.2
May 2026 24.48 5.5
June 2026 20.90 7.8
July 2026 17.71 7.3

Source :Department of Commerce and CSO

IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE ON INDIA’S EXPORTS

How did the exchange rate fare during April 2026 and what was the recent trend in Re-Dollar movement? In order to get a clearer picture of the recent Re-Dollar trend, not only we took the exchange rate of April 2026, but also considered monthly average exchange rate of Rupee vis-à-vis the US Dollar for each month of fiscal 2024-25 and fiscal 2025-26 as per the latest data published, as mere one-month figure does not reflect any trend. The following two tables clearly depicts the short-term trend.

Fig 3: Trend of Rupee vis-a-vis US dollar from April 2020

(Monthly Average Rate of FBIL has been considered)

Source : FBIL

Table 9: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2025-26 vis-à-vis 2024-25

(As per latest data released by FBIL)

Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) Year-on-Year Change (%) Direction Month-on-Month Change (%) Direction
Month 2025-26 2026-27
April 85.56 93.55 9.34 Depreciation 0.85 Depreciation
May 85.19 95.60 12.22 Depreciation 2.19 Depreciation
June 85.90 94.97 10.56 Depreciation -0.66 Appreciation
July 86.11 95.82 11.28 Depreciation 0.90 Depreciation
August 87.52 95.47 9.08 Depreciation -0.37 Depreciation

Rupee depreciation vis-à-vis the US dollar continued on the back of high crude prices following the geo-political crisis in West Asian region. Flight of foreign capital from Indian market especially by FPIs also accelerated rupee’s fall. Rupee weakened by around 0.9% month-on-month in April 2026 while the depreciation was10.6% in fiscal 2025-26.

Table 10: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2024-25 vis-à-vis 2023-24

(As per latest data released by FBIL)

Monthly Average Exchange Rate (1 USD to INR) Year-on-Year Change (%) Direction Month-on-Month Change (%) Direction
Month 2024-25 2025-26
April 83.41 85.56 2.58 Depreciation -1.25 Appreciation
May 83.39 85.19 2.16 Depreciation -0.43 Appreciation
June 83.47 85.90 2.91 Depreciation 0.83 Depreciation
July 83.59 86.11 3.01 Depreciation 0.24 Depreciation
August 83.90 87.52 4.31 Depreciation 1.64 Depreciation
September 83.81 88.32 5.38 Depreciation 0.91 Depreciation
October 84.03 88.42 5.22 Depreciation 0.11 Depreciation
November 84.36 88.83 5.30 Depreciation 0.46 Depreciation
December 84.99 90.09 6.00 Depreciation 1.42 Depreciation
January 86.26 90.80 5.25 Depreciation 0.79 Depreciation
February 87.05 90.77 4.27 Depreciation -0.03 Appreciation
March 86.64 92.76 7.06 Depreciation 2.19 Depreciation

Source : FBIL, EEPC Research

TREND IN ENGINEERING TRADE BALANCE

We now present the trend in two-way yearly trade for the engineering sector for the Apr 2026 depicted in the table below:

Table 11: Monthly Trend in Engineering Trade Balance for the current FY

(US$ million)

Trade Flow April May June July August
Engineering Export 10.4 12.31 11.48 12.24 12.32
Engineering Import 14.4 14.36 14.19 15.66 15.06
Trade Balance -4.0 -2.05 -2.71 -3.42 -2.74

Source : DGCI&S

TO CONCLUDE...

The Indian engineering performance containued its growth run in the first month of FY 2026-27, recording a significant growth of 8.78% over the same period last year. The growth was noticed in almost all sectors and all regions. Decline was majorly noted in WANA where the region has been significantly impacted by the regional conflicts. However, within the region, exports to Oman increased which is a positive indicator especially due to the recently signed India-Oman CEPA. In this context, it is also important to mention that the Government of India has signed a slew of FTAs with some of our major partners, however to make the FTAs really successful, we need to understand all market access challenges faced by Indian exporters in the FTA partner countries. UNCTAD’s Global Trade Update in its May issue, mentioned that trade policies are becoming interventioninst and while tariffs are raising, it is the non-tariff measures (NTMs) that are creating the major obstacles and raising the trade cost- As per UNCTAD, while tariffs increased around 10 to 18%, NTMs impose higher export costs than tariffs for 88% of countries. Therefore while bilateral trade agreements are essential in the growing protectionism, it is essential that the government and industry along with the Indian Missions abroad collaborate to identify and address the NTMs that create market access challenges.